El Niño to collapse by summer, La Niña forecast fall and winter 2024-25

Strong El Niño conditions were observed over the winter of 2023-24, leading to long lasting periods of split flow in the jet stream aimed at Western North America. This is a typical El Niño pattern, where the northern split persistently aims storms at southeast Alaska and the southern branch aims at California. Despite this, Oregon […]

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Pacific Northwest snowpack improves at the start of March after week of snow

A prolonged pattern of upper level troughing and repeated regional storm systems have added quite a bit of snow to mountains of the Pacific Northwest over the past week. As of the end of the day on March 4, the snow-water equivalent (SWE) value for the Northwest was 88% of the median for this time […]

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Marginal (level 1/5) risk of severe weather for the Tri-Cities area on Wednesday

Monsoon moisture is surging into the Inland Northwest Tuesday evening as an upper level low spins off the coast of Oregon. On Monday, I reported that Wednesday was likely to see thunderstorm activity pushed eastward into Idaho and Utah because of how close the low was expected to be to the Washington coast. Updated models […]

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Low chance of thunderstorms for the Tri-Cities area Tuesday

Over the next couple of days, the Columbia Basin is forecast to see highs in the 100s, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a heat advisory for the region. It is in effect from 12:00 Monday to 23:00 Tuesday. This heatwave is much smaller and shorter in comparison to the one at the end […]

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Upper-level trough bringing quick cool down Thursday to Saturday in the Tri-Cities

One last day of near 100° highs are expected in the Tri-Cities on Wednesday before an upper level trough passes through the region. This is forecast to place the jet stream right over the Washington/Oregon border, allowing cooler air from the north to dip into the Pacific Northwest. This trough in the upper level flow […]

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Monsoon moisture moderated highs in the Columbia Basin on Sunday and Monday

On both Sunday and Monday highs in the Tri-Cities and surrounding areas came in below the forecast (though still quite hot) because of cloud cover. On Sunday these clouds were remnants of thunderstorm activity from the night before in the Blue Mountains and Central Oregon. On Monday, radar data showed some light shower activity trying […]

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Elevated fire danger to kick off the end of the heatwave

The heat wave is forecast to slowly come to an end over the next couple of days but fire danger will increase as it makes its way out. This has prompted the National Weather Service to issue a Red Flag Warning in effect from 12:00 Monday to 21:00 Tuesday for the combination of low humidity […]

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Heat wave forecast to last longer than expected previously

A ridge of high pressure continues to dominate weather conditions across the Pacific Northwest, with many locations above 100° Saturday afternoon and a few places around the Tri-Cities getting around 110°. For several days, weather models had shown significant cooling Monday and beyond, but as we’ve gotten closer it now appears that the weather may […]

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Excessive heat watch posted for the Tri-Cities next week

As we approach the coming heat wave, the National Weather Service in Pendleton has issued an excessive heat watch in effect from Tuesday morning to Friday evening. It is likely to be replaced by a warning in the next couple of days. The watch is for most lowland areas in Pendleton’s county warning area, including […]

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Big heat for the Columbia Basin next week

It won’t be as extreme as the 2021 Heat Dome, which brought new all-time records to many locations in the Pacific Northwest, but much of next week is likely to see highs above 100° in the Tri-Cities. An upper level ridge of high pressure is forecast to move into the Pacific Northwest from offshore starting […]

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